http://www.totalintel.com/content/free-tis-article-week-world-adam-gadahn-releases-we-do-not-kill-innocent-muslims
Free TIS article of the week - World: Adam Gadahn Releases "We do not kill innocent Muslims"
World: Adam Gadahn Releases "We do not kill innocent Muslims"
Highlights
- American Al-Qaeda member Adam Gadhan released a video claiming that al-Qaeda does not kill innocent Muslims
- Video is al-Qaeda's attempt at damage control
- Message suggests al-Qaeda loosing popularity in the Western world
On December 12, 2009, al-Qaeda's as-Sahab Media released a video featuring infamous American jihadist Adam Gadhan on several prominent jihadist sites, including TIS-591985. Adam Gadahn, known as Azzam al-Amriki, is an American born member of al-Qaeda. Since 2004, when he first appeared in a number of al-Qaeda videos, al-Qaeda has used Gadahn to send messages to the English-speaking world.
Gadhan begins the message, entitled "The Mujahideen Don't Target Muslims" by declaring that the mujahedeen are defeating the US in Afghanistan, and that the Pakistani government offensives in Waziristan and Swat are "futile." He boasts that the mujahedeen are dealing "decisive blows to the apostate regimes in Kabul and Islamabad."
Gadhan then launches into a lengthy tirade alleging that the American Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency, the Indian Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), andAmerican security company Blackwater are responsible for the recent suicide bombings targeting innocent civilians in crowded marketplaces, schools and mosques. According to Gadhan, these agencies perpetrate the attacks and then blame them on the mujahedeen to discredit them. He denounces global media outlets for propagating this "conspiracy" against the mujahedeen. To support this allegation he claims that the mujahedeen are already so successful at penetrating the highest levels of the Pakistani and Afghan regimes that they have no need for desperate suicide attacks on soft targets like civilians.
Al-Qaeda's Sincerest Apologies
After elaborating on his conspiracy theory, Gadhan implores Muslims to think about who has a stronger motive to kill innocent Muslim civilians--the mujahedeen or the "crusaders." More than just suggesting that the CIA and ISI are responsible for recent suicide attacks in Afghanistan and Pakistan, Gadhan denies that al-Qaeda kills innocent Muslim civilians. He calls recent suicide attacks "brutal, heartless, and unjust," and points out that Shari'a law forbids killing innocents.
Gadhan then offers condolences to the "unintended Muslim victims of mujahedeen operations." We note that Gadhan's apology is likely an attempt to dispel rumors that al-Qaeda intentionally targets Muslims and to renew the group's appeal to Muslims who turned away from the group due to the alleged inadvertent murder of innocent Muslim civilians.
The use of Gadhan to send this message is surprising as most of the Muslim victims are in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iraq. Using Gadhan, however, also suggests that the apology is not sincere but rather an attempt to assuage the fears of Western Muslims that the group no longer protects Muslims. The apology is likely in response to a recent report published by the US Military Academy at West Point which concluded that 85 percent of the casualties from all al-Qaeda attacks in 2004-2008 were Muslims.
Severe Damage Control
The video is of poorer quality than those normally put out by Gadhan and as-Sahab, which may suggest that the video was impromptu, produced as a response versus as a typical propaganda film. We believe this is because al-Qaeda deemed it necessary to respond to the West Point report, which was published a few days prior to the release of Gadhan's video.
The ability of jihadist groups to rapidly publish responses to current events generally gives them an advantage at reaching their audience first, before the West has a chance to respond thoroughly. In this case, however, the rapid production of the video is a disservice to the organization as it suggests the group's apology is insincere and only in response to a recently produced report defaming al-Qaeda. As such, we do not believe Gadhan's message will produce the intended results of negating current reports suggesting al-Qaeda does kill Muslims.
Furthermore, we believe Gadhan's message suggests that al-Qaeda is loosing popularity where it counts the most, with its recruitment base. Recent reports by US government agencies suggest that al-Qaeda is loosing financial and practical support. Ultimately, the video appears to be a desperate attempt to offset the murmurings of Muslims who are at least partially sympathetic to al-Qaeda's cause, if not to some of its methods. Al-Qaeda likely recognizes that the increasing number of Muslims killed in the group's attacks, is having a negative effect on those sympathies, something too costly not to address.